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manufactured goods; nor can the debt incurred for those goods be



liquidated by agricultural products; at present the American



exports to England are limited by narrow bounds; while the English



exports to North America are practically unlimited; the rate of



exchange between both countries under such circumstances cannot



equalise itself; and the indebtedness of America towards England



must be discharged by exports of bullion to the latter country。



    These exports of bullion; however; as they undermine the



American system of paper circulation; necessarily lead to the ruin



of the credit of the American banks; and therewith to general



revolutions in the prices of landed property and of the goods in



circulation; and especially to those general confusions of prices



and credit which derange and overturn the economy of the nation;



and with which; we may observe; that the North American free States



are visited whenever they have found them selves unable to restore



a balance between their imports and their exports by S tate tariff



regulations。



    It cannot afford any great consolation to the North American



that in consequence of bankruptcies and diminished consumption; the



imports and exports between both countries are at a later period



restored to a tolerable proportion to one another。 For the



destruction and convulsions of commerce and in credit; as well as



the reduction in consumption; are attended with disadvantages to



the welfare and happiness of individuals and to public order; from



which one cannot very quickly recover and the frequent repetition



of which must necessarily leave permanently; ruinous consequences。



    Still less can it afford any consolation to the North



Americans; if the popular theory maintains that it is an



indifferent matter whether large or small quantities of precious



metals are in circulation; that we exchange products merely for



products; whether this exchange is made by means of large or small



quantities of metallic circulation is of no importance to



individuals。 To the producer or proprietor it certainly may be of



no consequence whether the object of his production or of his



possession is worth 100 centimes or 100 francs; provided always



that he can procure with the 100 centimes as large a quantity of



objects of necessity and of enjoyment as he can with the 100



francs。 But low or high prices are thus a matter of indifference



only in case they remain on the same footing uninterruptedly for a



long period of time。



    If; however; they fluctuate frequently and violently;



disarrangements arise which throw the economy of every individual;



as well as that of society; into confusion。 Whoever has purchased



raw materials at high prices; cannot under low prices; by the sale



of his manufactured article; realise again that sum in precious



metals which his raw materials have cost him。 Whoever has bought at



high prices landed property and has left a portion of the purchase



money as a mortgage debt upon it; loses his ability of payment and



his property; because; under diminished prices; probably the value



of the entire property will scarcely equal the amount of the



mortgage。 Whoever has taken leases of property under a state of



high prices; finds himself ruined by the decrease in prices; or at



least unable to fulfil the covenants of his leases。 The greater the



rising and falling of prices; and the more frequently that



fluctuations occur; the more ruinous is their effect on the



economical conditions of the nation and especially on credit。 But



nowhere are these disadvantageous effects of the unusual influx or



efflux of precious metals seen in a more glaring light than in



those countries which are entirely dependent on foreign nations in



respect of their manufacturing requirements and the sale of their



own products; and whose commercial transactions are chiefly based



on paper circulation。



    It is acknowledged that the quantity of bank notes which a



country is able to put into and to maintain in circulation; is



dependent on the largeness of the amount of metallic money which it



possesses。 Every bank will endeavour to extend or limit its paper



circulation and its business in proportion to the amount of



precious metals lying in its vaults。 If the increase in its own



money capital or in deposits is large; it will give more credit;



and through this credit; increase the credit given by its debtors;



and by so doing raise the amount of consumption and prices;



especially those of landed property。 If; on the contrary; an efflux



of precious metals is perceptible; such a bank will limit its



credit; and thereby occasion restriction of credit and consumption



by its debtors; and by the debtors of its debtors; and so on to



those who by credit are engaged in bringing into consumption the



imported manufactured goods。 In such countries; therefore; the



whole system of credit; the market for goods and products; and



especially the money value of all landed property; is thrown into



confusion by any unusual drain of metallic money。



    The cause of the latest as well as of former American



commercial crises; has been alleged to exist in the American



banking and paper system。 The truth is that the banks have helped



to bring about these crises in the manner above named; but the main



cause of their occurrence is that since the introduction of the '



compromise; bill the value of the English manufactured goods has



far surpassed the value of the exported American products; and that



thereby the United States have become indebted to the English to



the amount of several hundreds of millions for which they could not



pay in products。 The proof that these crises are occasioned by



disproportionate importation is; that they have always taken place



whenever (in consequence of peace having set in or of a reduction



being made in the American customs duties) importation of



manufactured goods into the United States has been unusually large;



and that they have never occurred as long as the imports of goods



have been prevented by customs duties on imports from exceeding the



value of the exports of produce。



    The blame for these crises has further been laid on the large



capital which has been expended in the United States in the



construction of canals and railways; and which has mostly been



procured from England by means of loans。 The truth is that these in



loans have merely assisted in delaying the crises for several



years; and increasing it when it arose; but these very loans



themselves have evidently been incurred through the inequality



which h
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